Match details. Liga Al, Women. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Hapoel Raanana have won one, drawn none and lost three of their last four league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: L W L L. Bnot Netanya FC have won none, drawn none and lost four of their last four league games, 0.0 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: L L L L.
The numbers. Hapoel Raanana score one and concede two a game over their last four, with no clean sheets. Hapoel Raanana average 13.7 shots (9.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Bnot Netanya FC score 0.2 and concede five a game over their last four, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Bnot Netanya FC average 1.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 94% against the records' 59%.
The read. No firm call: Hapoel Raanana are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Hapoel Raanana the likelier winners; Hapoel Raanana are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hapoel Raanana. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Hapoel Raanana 2-1 Bnot Netanya FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Hapoel Raanana the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).