Match details. Copa Ecuador, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W. LDU Quito have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. In this competition LDU Quito have gone W.
The numbers. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador score 1.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador average 12.7 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. LDU Quito score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. LDU Quito average 14.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador have won four, drawn two and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador won one, one was drawn and LDU Quito won two. The last time they met, on 20 Sep 2026, it finished CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1-2 LDU Quito: CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador had 18 shots to 14, 47% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador or Both Teams Score (no result call); LDU Quito or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); LDU Quito win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 2-1 LDU Quito (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).