Match details. Segunda Division, Play-off. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Brigido Iriarte, Caracas.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Zamora FC Barinas II have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. Bolivar SC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W.
The numbers. Zamora FC Barinas II score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Zamora FC Barinas II average 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Bolivar SC score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Bolivar SC average 3.5 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Bolivar SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Bolivar SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Zamora FC Barinas II 2-1 Bolivar SC (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 5 of 5 (100%) · BOL 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
Zamora FC Barinas II: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Bolivar SC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Bolivar SC's level · Bolivar SC: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
ZAM 3 of 5 (60%) · BOL 5 of 7 (71%)64%
Zamora FC Barinas II: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Bolivar SC: both scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Bolivar SC's level · Bolivar SC: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
ZAMORA FC BARINAS II GOALS
Zamora FC Barinas II Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 4 of 5 (80%) · BOL 5 of 7 (71%)75.7%
Zamora FC Barinas II scored in 4 of 5 at home · Bolivar SC conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Bolivar SC's level · Bolivar SC: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level
BOLIVAR SC GOALS
Bolivar SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ZAM 6 of 7 (86%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)81.2%
Bolivar SC scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Zamora FC Barinas II conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · Bolivar SC: only games against sides at Zamora FC Barinas II's level · Zamora FC Barinas II: only games against sides at Bolivar SC's level
Left off the list: Bolivar SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bolivar SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bolivar SC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Bolivar SC 1UP (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bolivar SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–18.2%
Zamora FC Barinas II goals →
Bolivar SC goals ↓
0-03%
1-04%
2-05%
3-03%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-14%
1-19%
2-18%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-24%
1-27%
2-27%
3-25%
4-22%
5-21.0%
0-32%
1-34%
2-34%
3-33%
4-31%
5-30.6%
0-40.9%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.6%
5-40.3%
0-50.3%
1-50.6%
2-50.7%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
ZAMORA FC BARINAS IIWWLLLWWLWW1.80 PPG
BOLIVAR SCDWWWWWLDLL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ZAMORA FC BARINAS II HOMExBOLIVAR SC AWAY
1.72SCORED A GAME1.321.53CONCEDED A GAME1.1150%BOTH SCORED60%30%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.72CORNERS A GAME3.452.69CARDS A GAME3.55
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.88POINTS A GAME1.27+0.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.36+1.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES11
Zamora FC Barinas II: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
78%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 85/90
ZAMORA FC BARINAS II OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
BOLIVAR SC OR DRAW
40%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ZAMORA FC BARINAS IIxBOLIVAR SC
5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME1.204.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE80%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Zamora FC Barinas II have scored in 80% of their games.
Bolivar SC have scored in 90% of their games.
Zamora FC Barinas II kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Bolivar SC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards