Match details. UEFA Europa Cup, Women. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Spartak Myjava have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Hammarby IF have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Spartak Myjava score 5.3 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Spartak Myjava average 17.6 shots (10.2 on target), 7.8 corners and 0.6 cards a game. Hammarby IF score 2.4 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets. Hammarby IF average 13.8 shots (6.8 on target), 7.4 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 6% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Spartak Myjava are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Spartak Myjava the likelier winners; Spartak Myjava are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Spartak Myjava. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Hammarby IF or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Spartak Myjava); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Hammarby IF or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Spartak Myjava). Predicted score: Spartak Myjava 2-1 Hammarby IF (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).