Match details. Primera Division, Apertura - 15. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. Indigenas de Matagalpa FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Art Municipal Jalapa have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D.
The numbers. Indigenas de Matagalpa FC score 0.6 and concede 2.3 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Indigenas de Matagalpa FC average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Art Municipal Jalapa score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Art Municipal Jalapa average 4.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The case against. Indigenas de Matagalpa FC's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Art Municipal Jalapa to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Art Municipal Jalapa the likelier winners; Art Municipal Jalapa are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, 74% on the records (Indigenas de Matagalpa FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 at home; Art Municipal Jalapa: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: Art Municipal Jalapa Over 0.5 Goals at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Art Municipal Jalapa or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Indigenas de Matagalpa FC Under 1.5 goals (Art Municipal Jalapa's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Indigenas de Matagalpa FC 1-2 Art Municipal Jalapa (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).