AE Prat vs Athletic Bilbao
Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal Sagnier, El Prat de Llobregat.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. AE Prat have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. In this competition AE Prat have gone W W. Athletic Bilbao have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D.
The numbers. AE Prat score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Athletic Bilbao score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Athletic Bilbao average 12.2 shots (4.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make AE Prat the likelier winners, but Athletic Bilbao are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The case against. AE Prat's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Athletic Bilbao to win. Their goals for and against make AE Prat the likelier winners; Athletic Bilbao are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AE Prat 0-1 Athletic Bilbao (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).