CGCDG

20:00Thu 29 Oct

SPO

CD Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CD Guijuelo have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. Sporting Gijon have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L.

The numbers. CD Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Guijuelo average 8.6 shots (3.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.6 cards a game. Sporting Gijon score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sporting Gijon average 12.1 shots (4.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 1 Nov 2023, it finished CD Guijuelo 0-3 Sporting Gijon: CD Guijuelo had 0 shots to 0.

The case against. CD Guijuelo's record still gives them 50% to win.

The read. Sporting Gijon or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Guijuelo the likelier winners; CD Guijuelo are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Guijuelo 1-1 Sporting Gijon (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

CDG 8 of 10 (80%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)89.8%

CD Guijuelo: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Gijon: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

CD GUIJUELO GOALS

CD Guijuelo Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.82

CDG 7 of 10 (70%) · SPO 3 of 5 (60%)58.4%

CD Guijuelo scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Gijon conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

SPORTING GIJON GOALS

Sporting Gijon Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 89%

1.12

CDG 3 of 5 (60%) · SPO 8 of 10 (80%)67.5%

Sporting Gijon scored in 3 of 5 away · CD Guijuelo conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.47

CDG 8 of 10 (80%) · SPO 4 of 5 (80%)80%

CD Guijuelo: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sporting Gijon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.7%

CD Guijuelo goals →

Sporting Gijon goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD GUIJUELOWWLLWLLWWW1.80 PPG

SPORTING GIJONWWLLWLWWWL1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD GUIJUELO HOMExSPORTING GIJON AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.101.10CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE45%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.253.60CARDS A GAME3.25

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

CD GUIJUELO 0 · 0%DRAW 0SPORTING GIJON 1 · 100%

2023-11-01CD Guijuelo 0 – 3 Sporting Gijon

TRENDS

CD Guijuelo have scored in 60% of their games.

Sporting Gijon have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Guijuelo kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Sporting Gijon kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards