UB Lebrijana vs Getafe
Match details. UB Lebrijana take on Getafe in the Copa del Rey Round of 128. The match is played at Estadio Municipal, Lebrija. Kick-off is set for Thu 29 Oct at 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is a one-off game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. UB Lebrijana have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, averaging 0.7 points a game. Their last five reads W W L L L, though they have gone W W in this competition. Getafe have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, also on 0.7 points a game, with L L D D L in their last five.
The numbers. UB Lebrijana score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, keeping two clean sheets and going two games without a goal. They average 7.0 corners and 0.0 cards. Getafe score 0.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 13.1 shots (3.8 on target), 5.5 corners and 4.1 cards with 38% of the ball.
The case against. UB Lebrijana's record still gives them 46% to win. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. Getafe to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make UB Lebrijana the likelier winners. Both teams' records favour UB Lebrijana.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Getafe are a clear winner, no Unders); Getafe Over 0.5 Goals (Getafe's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Getafe are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: UB Lebrijana 1-2 Getafe (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).