CACDA

19:00Thu 29 Oct

CLU

CD Atletico Baleares vs Club Deportivo Eldense

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. CD Atletico Baleares take on Club Deportivo Eldense in the Copa del Rey Round of 128. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct at 19:00 Lagos time. The match will be played at Estadio Balear in Palma de Mallorca, Illes Balears.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level at the end.

Form. CD Atletico Baleares have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, picking up 1.1 points a game. Their last five reads W D D W D. Club Deportivo Eldense have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, taking 1.4 points a game. Their last five reads L W W W L.

The numbers. CD Atletico Baleares score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. They average 10.7 shots (3.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Club Deportivo Eldense score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. They average 13.1 shots (4.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards, with 52% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings CD Atletico Baleares have won one and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 5 Feb 2023, it finished CD Atletico Baleares 1-2 Club Deportivo Eldense.

The case against. CD Atletico Baleares's record still gives them 43% to win.

The read. Club Deportivo Eldense or the draw. A tight game. Club Deportivo Eldense are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Club Deportivo Eldense Over 0.5 goals (Club Deportivo Eldense's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Atletico Baleares 1-1 Club Deportivo Eldense (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Club Deportivo Eldense win or both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY

1.18

CDA 2 of 5 (40%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)69.4%

Club Deportivo Eldense: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · CD Atletico Baleares: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 4 of 5 (80%)84%

CD Atletico Baleares: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Club Deportivo Eldense: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.79

CDA 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 1 of 5 (20%)54.4%

CD Atletico Baleares: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Club Deportivo Eldense: both scored in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.23

CDA 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 3 of 5 (60%)80%

CD Atletico Baleares: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Club Deportivo Eldense: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Club Deportivo Eldense Over 0.5 goals (Club Deportivo Eldense's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

CD Atletico Baleares goals →

Club Deportivo Eldense goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD ATLETICO BALEARESDLLDLDWDDW1.10 PPG

CLUB DEPORTIVO ELDENSEDLDWLLWWWL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD ATLETICO BALEARES HOMExCLUB DEPORTIVO ELDENSE AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.301.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS20%12%FAILED TO SCORE45%5.29CORNERS A GAME5.123.29CARDS A GAME2.62

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.25POINTS A GAME1.44-0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.01.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.88LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

CD ATLETICO BALEARES OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

CLUB DEPORTIVO ELDENSE OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD ATLETICO BALEARESxCLUB DEPORTIVO ELDENSE

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.403.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

CD ATLETICO BALEARES 1 · 50%DRAW 0CLUB DEPORTIVO ELDENSE 1 · 50%

2022-10-23CD Atletico Baleares 3 – 1 Club Deportivo Eldense

2023-02-05CD Atletico Baleares 1 – 2 Club Deportivo Eldense

TRENDS

CD Atletico Baleares have scored in 90% of their games.

Club Deportivo Eldense have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Atletico Baleares kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Club Deportivo Eldense kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards