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PARAGUAY - COPA PARAGUAY
Sportivo Luqueno crestSLSPO
23:30Wed 28 Oct
RECRecoleta FC crestRF

Sportivo Luqueno vs Recoleta FC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Copa Paraguay, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio, Luque.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Sportivo Luqueno have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Recoleta FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. In this competition Recoleta FC have gone W.

The numbers. Sportivo Luqueno score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sportivo Luqueno average 13.0 shots (4.4 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Recoleta FC score 0.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Recoleta FC average 10.3 shots (2.0 on target), 2.3 corners and 4.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings Sportivo Luqueno have won five, drawn two and lost none. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Sportivo Luqueno won four. The last time they met, on 20 Sep 2026, it finished Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 Recoleta FC.

The case against. A knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Sportivo Luqueno are not clearly stronger. Recoleta FC's record still gives them 21% to win.

The read. Sportivo Luqueno or the draw. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Sportivo Luqueno; the meetings favour Sportivo Luqueno. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Recoleta FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPO 6 of 6 (100%) · REC 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Sportivo Luqueno: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Recoleta FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Sportivo Luqueno: only games against sides at Recoleta FC's level · Recoleta FC: only games against sides at Sportivo Luqueno's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
SPO 5 of 6 (83%) · REC 5 of 5 (100%)89.2%
Sportivo Luqueno: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Recoleta FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Sportivo Luqueno: only games against sides at Recoleta FC's level · Recoleta FC: only games against sides at Sportivo Luqueno's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.35
SPO 5 of 6 (83%) · REC 5 of 5 (100%)85.1%
Sportivo Luqueno: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Recoleta FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · H2H 5 of 6 · Sportivo Luqueno: only games against sides at Recoleta FC's level · Recoleta FC: only games against sides at Sportivo Luqueno's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 14.2%
Sportivo Luqueno goals →
Recoleta FC goals ↓
0-013%
1-013%
2-08%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-111%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-26%
1-26%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.4%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.4%
1-40.5%
2-40.3%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
SPORTIVO LUQUENOWDLLWLLLWL1.00 PPG
RECOLETA FCLLLLWDLLWD0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPORTIVO LUQUENO HOMExRECOLETA FC AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME0.801.80CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS20%36%FAILED TO SCORE14%6.20CORNERS A GAME2.332.20CARDS A GAME4.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.50POINTS A GAME0.86-1.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.71-3.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES14
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
81%
NO · 85/90
SPORTIVO LUQUENO OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
RECOLETA FC OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SPORTIVO LUQUENOxRECOLETA FC
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.601.80CONCEDED A GAME0.802.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7
SPORTIVO LUQUENO 5 · 71%DRAW 2RECOLETA FC 0 · 0%
3 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-03-16Sportivo Luqueno 1 – 0 Recoleta FC
2025-05-20Sportivo Luqueno 0 – 0 Recoleta FC
2025-08-23Sportivo Luqueno 0 – 0 Recoleta FC
2025-11-07Sportivo Luqueno 3 – 2 Recoleta FC
2026-02-13Sportivo Luqueno 2 – 1 Recoleta FC
2026-04-11Sportivo Luqueno 2 – 1 Recoleta FC
2026-09-20Sportivo Luqueno 1 – 0 Recoleta FC
TRENDS
Sportivo Luqueno have scored in 60% of their games.
Recoleta FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Sportivo Luqueno kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Recoleta FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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