Match details. State Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Ness Ziona Stadium, Rehovot.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. Ironi Modiin have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.
The numbers. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ironi Modiin score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have won one, drawn one and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 16 Oct 2026, it finished Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 0-2 Ironi Modiin.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 40% against the records' 61%.
The read. No firm call: Ironi Modiin are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ironi Modiin the likelier winners; Ironi Modiin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ironi Modiin. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1-2 Ironi Modiin (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).