Match details. State Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Herzeliya Stadium.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Hapoel Ra`anana FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. Hapoel Umm AL Fahm have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D. In this competition Hapoel Umm AL Fahm have gone W.
The numbers. Hapoel Ra`anana FC score two and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Hapoel Umm AL Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Hapoel Ra`anana FC have won five, drawn one and lost two. Six of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Hapoel Ra`anana FC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 16 May 2025, it finished Hapoel Ra`anana FC 3-0 Hapoel Umm AL Fahm.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 68% against the records' 43%.
The read. No firm call: Hapoel Ra`anana FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Hapoel Ra`anana FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Hapoel Ra`anana FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%. Six of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hapoel Ra`anana FC 2-1 Hapoel Umm AL Fahm (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).