HKHK

18:30Wed 28 Oct

Hapoel Karmiel FC vs Hapoel Azor FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. State Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Hapoel Karmiel FC have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. In this competition Hapoel Karmiel FC have gone W. Hapoel Azor FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. In this competition Hapoel Azor FC have gone W.

The numbers. Hapoel Karmiel FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Hapoel Azor FC score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 64) with penalties if level, and Hapoel Karmiel FC are not clearly stronger. Hapoel Azor FC's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. Hapoel Karmiel FC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Hapoel Karmiel FC the likelier winners; Hapoel Karmiel FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hapoel Karmiel FC 2-1 Hapoel Azor FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.40

HK 4 of 5 (80%) · HA 4 of 5 (80%)79.3%

Hapoel Karmiel FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Hapoel Azor FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · Hapoel Karmiel FC: only games against sides at Hapoel Azor FC's level · Hapoel Azor FC: only games against sides at Hapoel Karmiel FC's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.31

HK 4 of 5 (80%) · HA 4 of 5 (80%)77.4%

Hapoel Karmiel FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Hapoel Azor FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · on half-time scores · Hapoel Karmiel FC: only games against sides at Hapoel Azor FC's level · Hapoel Azor FC: only games against sides at Hapoel Karmiel FC's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.3%

Hapoel Karmiel FC goals →

Hapoel Azor FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

HAPOEL KARMIEL FCLWWDDDWWDD1.70 PPG

HAPOEL AZOR FCDWLWLWDDWW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HAPOEL KARMIEL FC HOMExHAPOEL AZOR FC AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.300.90CONCEDED A GAME0.9040%CLEAN SHEETS50%12%FAILED TO SCORE43%

TRENDS

Hapoel Karmiel FC failed to score in 12% of their games.

Hapoel Azor FC failed to score in 43% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & against