Match details. State Cup, Round of 64. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Tikva Stadium, Tel Aviv.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. In this competition Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC have gone L. FC Ashdod have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Ashdod score 2.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC have won four, drawn one and lost three. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC won one, one was drawn and FC Ashdod won two. The last time they met, on 27 Jan 2021, it finished Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC 0-4 FC Ashdod.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: FC Ashdod or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Ashdod or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC Under 1.5 goals (Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC's own games don't back it (4 of 9)). Predicted score: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv FC 1-1 FC Ashdod (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).