Match details. Northern Premier League Premier. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Alfreton Town FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W. AFC Emley have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L.
The numbers. Alfreton Town FC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Alfreton Town FC average 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AFC Emley score 0.8 and concede 2.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AFC Emley average 5.9 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
The case against. AFC Emley's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Alfreton Town FC to win. Their goals for and against make Alfreton Town FC the likelier winners; Alfreton Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Alfreton Town FC 1-0 AFC Emley (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).