Real Madrid Castilla vs FC Cartagena

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 10. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time. The referee is E. Garcia Arriola.

What's at stake. Real Madrid Castilla are 12th on 12 points after 9 games, level on points with Huesca, 1 point clear of Atlético Madrid II. A win would take them above Huesca. FC Cartagena are 7th on 15 points after 9 games, level on points with Alcorcon, 1 point clear of Gimnastic. A win would take them above Alcorcon.

Form. Real Madrid Castilla have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. FC Cartagena have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W.

The numbers. Real Madrid Castilla score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Real Madrid Castilla average 11.1 shots (3.5 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game. FC Cartagena score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Cartagena average 11.4 shots (4.0 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Cartagena or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); FC Cartagena or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); FC Cartagena or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Real Madrid Castilla 1-1 FC Cartagena (13% chance).