Bitlis Ozguzelderespor vs Kayserispor
Match details. Turkiye Kupasi, 3rd Round. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Bitlis Ozguzelderespor have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition Bitlis Ozguzelderespor have gone W L. Kayserispor have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W.
The numbers. Bitlis Ozguzelderespor score 3.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Kayserispor score two and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. Kayserispor average 16.4 shots (6.6 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
The case against. A knockout game (3rd Round) with penalties if level, and Bitlis Ozguzelderespor are not clearly stronger. Kayserispor's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Bitlis Ozguzelderespor or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Bitlis Ozguzelderespor the likelier winners; Bitlis Ozguzelderespor are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Kayserispor or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Bitlis Ozguzelderespor); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bitlis Ozguzelderespor 2-1 Kayserispor (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).