Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, Nakchivan.
What's at stake. Araz Nakhchivan PFK are 12th on 2 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Safa Baku. A win would take them above Safa Baku. Zira FK are 5th on 15 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Turan, 1 point clear of Kapaz. A win would take them level on points with Turan.
Form. Araz Nakhchivan PFK have won none, drawn two and lost seven of their last nine, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. In this competition Araz Nakhchivan PFK have gone L L L L D L. Zira FK have won four, drawn three and lost two of their last nine, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L D. In this competition Zira FK have gone W D D L D L.
The numbers. Araz Nakhchivan PFK score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Zira FK score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Araz Nakhchivan PFK have won five, drawn two and lost three. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Araz Nakhchivan PFK won one, one was drawn and Zira FK won two. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished Araz Nakhchivan PFK 3-2 Zira FK.
The case against. Araz Nakhchivan PFK's record still gives them 21% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Not everything agrees on goals: nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Zira FK to win. An open game. Zira FK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Zira FK.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Zira FK or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Araz Nakhchivan PFK 1-2 Zira FK (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).