Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div, Regular Season - 16. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Maldon & Tiptree FC are 18th on 14 points after 16 games, level on points with Aveley, 2 points clear of Cray Wanderers. A win would take them above Aveley. Three Bridges are 20th on 9 points after 13 games, 3 points behind Cray Wanderers, 2 points clear of Stanway Rovers. A win would take them level on points with Cray Wanderers.
Form. Maldon & Tiptree FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D L. In this competition Maldon & Tiptree FC have gone D D W D L L. Three Bridges have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. In this competition Three Bridges have gone L D L W D L.
The numbers. Maldon & Tiptree FC score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Three Bridges score 1.8 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 77% on the records (Maldon & Tiptree FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Three Bridges: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Leave: Three Bridges or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Three Bridges (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Maldon & Tiptree FC 2-1 Three Bridges (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).