Spennymoor Town FC vs Chorley FC
Match details. National League North. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Spennymoor Town FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Chorley FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W.
The numbers. Spennymoor Town FC score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Spennymoor Town FC average 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Chorley FC score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chorley FC average 3.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 40% against the records' 69%.
The read. No firm call: Chorley FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Chorley FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chorley FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 76% on the records (Spennymoor Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7; Chorley FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6). Backup: Chorley FC win or both teams score at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Spennymoor Town FC Under 1.5 goals (Chorley FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Spennymoor Town FC 1-2 Chorley FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).