ENGLAND AMATEUR - NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH
16:00Sat 31 Oct
MER
MT
Radcliffe FC vs Merthyr Town
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. National League North. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Radcliffe FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. Merthyr Town have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L.
The numbers. Radcliffe FC score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Radcliffe FC average 5.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Merthyr Town score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Merthyr Town average 6.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The case against. Merthyr Town's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Radcliffe FC to win. Their goals for and against make Radcliffe FC the likelier winners; Radcliffe FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Radcliffe FC 1-0 Merthyr Town (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Radcliffe FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.52
RAD 3 of 5 (60%) · MER 7 of 8 (88%)74.9%
Radcliffe FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Merthyr Town: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · Radcliffe FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Radcliffe FC's level
Radcliffe FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RAD 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 6 of 8 (75%)70.3%
Radcliffe FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Merthyr Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Radcliffe FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Radcliffe FC's level
Radcliffe FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.78
RAD 2 of 5 (40%) · MER 3 of 5 (60%)67.6%
Radcliffe FC won 2 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Merthyr Town lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 52% · Radcliffe FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Radcliffe FC's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 4
Radcliffe FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
RAD 2 of 5 (40%) · MER 2 of 5 (40%)60%
Radcliffe FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 2 · led or was unbeaten in 2 of 5 at home · Merthyr Town trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Radcliffe FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level
Radcliffe FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
RAD 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 4 of 8 (50%)54.7%
Radcliffe FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Merthyr Town: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Radcliffe FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Radcliffe FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.10
RAD 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 8 of 8 (100%)96.1%
Radcliffe FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Merthyr Town: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Radcliffe FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Radcliffe FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.35
RAD 3 of 5 (60%) · MER 8 of 8 (100%)90.4%
Radcliffe FC: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Merthyr Town: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Radcliffe FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Radcliffe FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
RAD 5 of 5 (100%) · MER 7 of 8 (88%)81.7%
Radcliffe FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Merthyr Town: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Radcliffe FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Radcliffe FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.39
RAD 2 of 5 (40%) · MER 5 of 8 (62%)46.2%
Radcliffe FC: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Merthyr Town: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 48% · Radcliffe FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Radcliffe FC's level
MERTHYR TOWN GOALS
Merthyr Town Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 85%
1.18
RAD 6 of 8 (75%) · MER 5 of 5 (100%)56.7%
Merthyr Town scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Radcliffe FC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 76% · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Radcliffe FC's level · Radcliffe FC: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 10.2%
Radcliffe FC goals →
Merthyr Town goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
RADCLIFFE FCLWWWLLLWLL1.20 PPG
MERTHYR TOWNLLDDLLDDWW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
RADCLIFFE FC HOMExMERTHYR TOWN AWAY
1.14SCORED A GAME1.071.71CONCEDED A GAME1.3620%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.09CORNERS A GAME6.002.82CARDS A GAME1.86
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.07POINTS A GAME1.08-0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.31-1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.61.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.414LEAGUE GAMES13
Radcliffe FC: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
RADCLIFFE FC OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
MERTHYR TOWN OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
RADCLIFFE FCxMERTHYR TOWN
7GAMES71.57SCORED A GAME0.711.71CONCEDED A GAME1.293.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.086%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%71%OVER 2.5 GOALS43%43%BOTH SCORE57%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Radcliffe FC have scored in 60% of their games.
Merthyr Town have scored in 70% of their games.
Radcliffe FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Merthyr Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards