Match details. National League North. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Oxford City have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. South Shields have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. Oxford City score 2.4 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Oxford City average 6.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. South Shields score 1.7 and concede 2.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. South Shields average 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. South Shields's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Oxford City to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Oxford City the likelier winners; Oxford City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Oxford City. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Oxford City or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); South Shields Under 1.5 goals (South Shields's own games don't back it (2 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Oxford City 2-1 South Shields (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).