Match details. National League North. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Buxton FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. Marine FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W.
The numbers. Buxton FC score 2.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Buxton FC average 5.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Marine FC score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Marine FC average 4.6 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. Marine FC's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Buxton FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Buxton FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Buxton FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Buxton FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Buxton FC 2-1 Marine FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).