Match details. 2. Liga, Division A. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Rodina-2 have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. Dinamo Kirov have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D.
The numbers. Rodina-2 score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Rodina-2 average 5.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Dinamo Kirov score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Dinamo Kirov average 5.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Rodina-2 the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Dinamo Kirov.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Rodina-2 2-1 Dinamo Kirov (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Rodina-2 the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).