PWPOL

17:30Thu 29 Oct

KOR

Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Puchar Polski, Round of 32. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, Warszawa. The referee is J. Przybyl.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Polonia Warszawa have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. In this competition Polonia Warszawa have gone W. Korona Kielce have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. In this competition Korona Kielce have gone W.

The numbers. Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Polonia Warszawa average 13.5 shots (3.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Korona Kielce score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Korona Kielce average 14.0 shots (5.3 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The case against. Polonia Warszawa's record still gives them 44% to win.

The read. Korona Kielce or the draw. Their goals for and against make Polonia Warszawa the likelier winners; Polonia Warszawa are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Korona Kielce (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POL 9 of 10 (90%) · KOR 4 of 5 (80%)87.1%

Polonia Warszawa: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Korona Kielce: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

POL 9 of 10 (90%) · KOR 4 of 5 (80%)85.7%

Polonia Warszawa: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Korona Kielce: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against

POLONIA WARSZAWA GOALS

Polonia Warszawa Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.42

POL 9 of 10 (90%) · KOR 3 of 5 (60%)73.9%

Polonia Warszawa scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Korona Kielce conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

KORONA KIELCE GOALS

Korona Kielce Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

POL 4 of 5 (80%) · KOR 7 of 10 (70%)78.4%

Korona Kielce scored in 4 of 5 away · Polonia Warszawa conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.32

POL 7 of 10 (70%) · KOR 4 of 5 (80%)75.3%

Polonia Warszawa: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Korona Kielce: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12%

Polonia Warszawa goals →

Korona Kielce goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

POLONIA WARSZAWALWLWLDWWWD1.70 PPG

KORONA KIELCEDWWDWLWLLW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

POLONIA WARSZAWA HOMExKORONA KIELCE AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS30%8%FAILED TO SCORE25%5.30CORNERS A GAME6.291.60CARDS A GAME1.57

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.67POINTS A GAME1.44+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.56+4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.52.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES9

Polonia Warszawa: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

POLONIA WARSZAWA 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

37%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

POLONIA WARSZAWA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

KORONA KIELCE OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

POLONIA WARSZAWAxKORONA KIELCE

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME2.402.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.09.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Polonia Warszawa have scored in 90% of their games.

Korona Kielce have scored in 80% of their games.

Polonia Warszawa kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Korona Kielce kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards