ASAVI

12:30Thu 29 Oct

RKS

Avia Swidnik vs RKS Radomiak Radom

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Puchar Polski, Round of 32. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Świdnik. The referee is D. Krumplewski.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Avia Swidnik have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. In this competition Avia Swidnik have gone W. RKS Radomiak Radom have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition RKS Radomiak Radom have gone W.

The numbers. Avia Swidnik score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Avia Swidnik average 8.4 shots (1.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game. RKS Radomiak Radom score 0.8 and concede 2.5 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. RKS Radomiak Radom average 15.4 shots (4.3 on target), 7.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.

The case against. Avia Swidnik's record still gives them 49% to win.

The read. RKS Radomiak Radom to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Avia Swidnik the likelier winners; Avia Swidnik are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Avia Swidnik. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (RKS Radomiak Radom are a clear winner, no Unders); Avia Swidnik Under 1.5 goals (RKS Radomiak Radom's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (RKS Radomiak Radom are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Avia Swidnik 1-2 RKS Radomiak Radom (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.20

AVI 4 of 6 (67%) · RKS 3 of 6 (50%)66.1%

Avia Swidnik: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · RKS Radomiak Radom: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against

AVIA SWIDNIK GOALS

Avia Swidnik Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.40

AVI 4 of 6 (67%) · RKS 4 of 6 (67%)65.9%

Avia Swidnik scored in 4 of 6 at home · RKS Radomiak Radom conceded in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

RKS RADOMIAK RADOM GOALS

RKS Radomiak Radom Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

AVI 3 of 6 (50%) · RKS 5 of 6 (83%)72.4%

RKS Radomiak Radom scored in 3 of 6 away · Avia Swidnik conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

AVI 5 of 6 (83%) · RKS 5 of 6 (83%)79.2%

Avia Swidnik: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · RKS Radomiak Radom: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.21

AVI 4 of 6 (67%) · RKS 4 of 6 (67%)70.1%

Avia Swidnik: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · RKS Radomiak Radom: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 2.5 first-half goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 89%

1.12

AVI 6 of 6 (100%) · RKS 3 of 6 (50%)69%

Avia Swidnik: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · RKS Radomiak Radom: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

AVI 4 of 6 (67%) · RKS 3 of 6 (50%)61.5%

Avia Swidnik: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · RKS Radomiak Radom: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 69% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (RKS Radomiak Radom are a clear winner - no Unders); Avia Swidnik Under 1.5 goals (RKS Radomiak Radom's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (RKS Radomiak Radom are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.3%

Avia Swidnik goals →

RKS Radomiak Radom goals ↓

0-06%

1-08%

2-07%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-40.6%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

AVIA SWIDNIKLLWLLDDWWL1.10 PPG

RKS RADOMIAK RADOMLDWWDLLLLL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AVIA SWIDNIK HOMExRKS RADOMIAK RADOM AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME0.901.60CONCEDED A GAME2.1010%CLEAN SHEETS30%31%FAILED TO SCORE42%5.38CORNERS A GAME7.433.25CARDS A GAME1.43

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR RKS RADOMIAK RADOM (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.62POINTS A GAME0.50-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.62-0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.91.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.08LEAGUE GAMES8

Avia Swidnik: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

48%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 85/90

AVIA SWIDNIK OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

RKS RADOMIAK RADOM OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AVIA SWIDNIKxRKS RADOMIAK RADOM

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.802.00CONCEDED A GAME3.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Avia Swidnik have scored in 70% of their games.

RKS Radomiak Radom have scored in 50% of their games.

Avia Swidnik kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

RKS Radomiak Radom kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards