STSTA

14:30Thu 29 Oct

ESZ

Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Hedi-Enneifer, Le Bardo.

Form. Stade Tunisien have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. ES Zarzis have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L.

The numbers. Stade Tunisien score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Stade Tunisien average 9.4 shots (4.6 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game. ES Zarzis score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. ES Zarzis average 4.5 shots (1.0 on target), 0.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Stade Tunisien the likelier winners, but Stade Tunisien are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ES Zarzis.

The case against. ES Zarzis's record still gives them 45% to win.

The read. Stade Tunisien or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Stade Tunisien the likelier winners; Stade Tunisien are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ES Zarzis. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Stade Tunisien 1-1 ES Zarzis (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Stade Tunisien or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STA 6 of 8 (75%) · ESZ 5 of 5 (100%)90.6%

Stade Tunisien: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Stade Tunisien: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games in Stade Tunisien's division

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STA 8 of 8 (100%) · ESZ 5 of 5 (100%)97%

Stade Tunisien: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Stade Tunisien: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games in Stade Tunisien's division

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STA 8 of 8 (100%) · ESZ 5 of 5 (100%)85.9%

Stade Tunisien: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Stade Tunisien: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games in Stade Tunisien's division

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STA 7 of 8 (88%) · ESZ 5 of 5 (100%)69.8%

Stade Tunisien: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Stade Tunisien: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games in Stade Tunisien's division

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.41

STA 4 of 8 (50%) · ESZ 3 of 5 (60%)53.9%

Stade Tunisien: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · Stade Tunisien: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games in Stade Tunisien's division

STADE TUNISIEN GOALS

Stade Tunisien Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STA 5 of 8 (62%) · ESZ 3 of 5 (60%)77.4%

Stade Tunisien scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis conceded in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · Stade Tunisien: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games in Stade Tunisien's division

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STA 7 of 8 (88%) · ESZ 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%

Stade Tunisien: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · Stade Tunisien: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games in Stade Tunisien's division

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STA 6 of 8 (75%) · ESZ 4 of 5 (80%)77.5%

Stade Tunisien: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · Stade Tunisien: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games in Stade Tunisien's division

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

Stade Tunisien goals →

ES Zarzis goals ↓

0-09%

1-012%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

STADE TUNISIENLWWLDWDLLL1.10 PPG

ES ZARZISDLWLLLWLWL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

STADE TUNISIEN HOMExES ZARZIS AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.25CORNERS A GAME0.601.86CARDS A GAME1.50

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

STADE TUNISIEN OR DRAW

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

ES ZARZIS OR DRAW

41%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Stade Tunisien have scored in 60% of their games.

ES Zarzis have scored in 70% of their games.

Stade Tunisien kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

ES Zarzis kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards