Jagiellonia II Bialystok vs MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski
Match details. III Liga, Group 1, Group I - 15. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Jagiellonia II Bialystok are 11th on 17 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Olimpia Elbląg, 1 point clear of Widzew II. A win would take them above Olimpia Elbląg. MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski are 13th on 15 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Widzew II, level on points with ŁKS Łódź II. A win would take them above Widzew II.
Form. Jagiellonia II Bialystok have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. In this competition Jagiellonia II Bialystok have gone D L L D L L. MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski have gone W L W W D L.
The numbers. Jagiellonia II Bialystok score 2.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Jagiellonia II Bialystok average 4.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski average 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. Jagiellonia II Bialystok have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 24 May 2025, it finished Jagiellonia II Bialystok 3-0 MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 20% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.45, 78% on the records (Jagiellonia II Bialystok: both scored in 4 of 5 at home; MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski: both scored in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 at 1.58. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Jagiellonia II Bialystok 2-1 MKS Polonia Lidzbark Warminski (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).