Wollongong Wolves FC vs Lions FC
Match details. Australian Championship. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. Wollongong Wolves FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. Lions FC have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. Wollongong Wolves FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Wollongong Wolves FC average 11.0 shots (4.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Lions FC score 2.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Lions FC average 17.1 shots (6.8 on target), 10.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Lions FC's record still gives them 72% to win.
The read. Wollongong Wolves FC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Lions FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Lions FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 88% on the records (Wollongong Wolves FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Lions FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Wollongong Wolves FC Over 0.5 Goals (Lions FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Wollongong Wolves FC 2-2 Lions FC (5% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).