South Hobart FC vs Preston Lions FC
Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Darcy Street.
Form. South Hobart FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. Preston Lions FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L.
The numbers. South Hobart FC score 2.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. South Hobart FC average 15.8 shots (7.4 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Preston Lions FC score 1.6 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Preston Lions FC average 13.4 shots (5.3 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. South Hobart FC's record still gives them 47% to win.
The read. Preston Lions FC to win. An open game. South Hobart FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour South Hobart FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Preston Lions FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Preston Lions FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: South Hobart FC 1-2 Preston Lions FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).