Match details. Super Lig, Women. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time.
Form. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W W. Trabzonspor AS have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten league games, 2.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler score 2.3 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler average 7.7 shots (5.3 on target), 1.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Trabzonspor AS score 4.7 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. Trabzonspor AS average 23.3 shots (9.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The case against. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Trabzonspor AS to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Trabzonspor AS the likelier winners; Trabzonspor AS are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Trabzonspor AS. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1-3 Trabzonspor AS (8% chance).
The agreed story. Trabzonspor AS or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).