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Galatasaray Istanbul vs Stuttgart

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. UEFA Champions League, League Stage - 4. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Rams Park, Istanbul. The referee is Chris Kavanagh.

What's at stake. Galatasaray Istanbul are 23rd on 3 points after 3 games, level on points with Napoli, level on points with Lask Linz. A win would take them above Napoli. Stuttgart are 6th on 7 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Real Betis, level on points with Arsenal. A win would take them above Real Betis.

Team news. Galatasaray Istanbul are without E. Aydin (off the roster), K. Ayhan (off the roster), C. Guner (off the roster), K. Karatas (off the roster), A. Unyay (off the roster), A. Yilmaz (off the roster). Stuttgart are without J. Diehl (muscle injury), S. Drljaca (off the roster), L. Sauer (muscle injury), L. Stergiou (off the roster), A. Stiller (groin injury), J. Vagnoman (muscle injury).

Form. Galatasaray Istanbul have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Stuttgart have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L.

The numbers. Galatasaray Istanbul score two and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Galatasaray Istanbul average 15.0 shots (6.2 on target), 7.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Stuttgart score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Stuttgart average 14.2 shots (5.1 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Stuttgart the likelier winners, but Galatasaray Istanbul are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Galatasaray Istanbul.

The case against. Stuttgart's record still gives them 46% to win.

The read. Galatasaray Istanbul or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Stuttgart the likelier winners; Galatasaray Istanbul are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Galatasaray Istanbul. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Galatasaray Istanbul Over 0.5 goals (Stuttgart's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Galatasaray Istanbul 1UP (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Galatasaray Istanbul 2-1 Stuttgart (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Galatasaray Istanbul or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GAL 10 of 10 (100%) · STU 5 of 6 (83%)88%
Galatasaray Istanbul: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stuttgart: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against
Galatasaray Istanbul or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.09
GAL 9 of 10 (90%) · STU 3 of 6 (50%)74.2%
Galatasaray Istanbul: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stuttgart: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against
Galatasaray Istanbul or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.16
GAL 10 of 10 (100%) · STU 4 of 6 (67%)71.1%
Galatasaray Istanbul: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stuttgart: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against
Galatasaray Istanbul or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
GAL 5 of 5 (100%) · STU 9 of 10 (90%)69%
Galatasaray Istanbul scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stuttgart trailed or failed to win in 2 of 6 away · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GAL 10 of 10 (100%) · STU 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Galatasaray Istanbul: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stuttgart: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.40
GAL 8 of 10 (80%) · STU 3 of 6 (50%)61.8%
Galatasaray Istanbul: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stuttgart: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against
STUTTGART GOALS
Stuttgart Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
GAL 5 of 6 (83%) · STU 7 of 10 (70%)75.7%
Stuttgart scored in 5 of 6 away · Galatasaray Istanbul conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.11
GAL 10 of 10 (100%) · STU 6 of 6 (100%)98.3%
Galatasaray Istanbul: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stuttgart: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.25
GAL 8 of 10 (80%) · STU 4 of 6 (67%)74.1%
Galatasaray Istanbul: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stuttgart: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Galatasaray Istanbul Over 0.5 goals (Stuttgart's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Galatasaray Istanbul 1UP (the numbers (50%) and the records (69%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); 1X2 - 2UP: Galatasaray Istanbul (the numbers (32%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Galatasaray Istanbul (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (40%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 7.3%
Galatasaray Istanbul goals →
Stuttgart goals ↓
0-05%
1-05%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-17%
1-111%
2-17%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-34%
1-35%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-42%
1-42%
2-42%
3-40.7%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.6%
1-50.8%
2-50.6%
3-50.3%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
GALATASARAY ISTANBULWLWLWLWWWW2.10 PPG
STUTTGARTWLLWWLDLWW1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GALATASARAY ISTANBUL HOMExSTUTTGART AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.701.70CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%7.10CORNERS A GAME6.202.30CARDS A GAME1.401.10xG2.012.24xG AGAINST0.79
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.50POINTS A GAME1.33+1.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+10.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.62.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
77%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 85/90
GALATASARAY ISTANBUL OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
STUTTGART OR DRAW
28%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GALATASARAY ISTANBULxSTUTTGART
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.601.20CONCEDED A GAME2.003.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.411.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TEAM NEWS

GALATASARAY ISTANBUL

Out: E. Aydin (Off the roster), K. Ayhan (Off the roster), C. Guner (Off the roster), K. Karatas (Off the roster), A. Unyay (Off the roster), A. Yilmaz (Off the roster)

STUTTGART

Out: J. Diehl (Muscle Injury), S. Drljaca (Off the roster), L. Sauer (Muscle Injury), L. Stergiou (Off the roster), A. Stiller (Groin Injury), J. Vagnoman (Muscle Injury)
TRENDS
Galatasaray Istanbul have scored in 90% of their games.
Stuttgart have scored in 80% of their games.
Galatasaray Istanbul kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Stuttgart kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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