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IRAQ - STARS LEAGUE
Al Shorta SC crestASALS
17:30Sat 31 Oct
NEWNewroz SC crestNS

Al Shorta SC vs Newroz SC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Al Shorta SC are 4th on 20 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Newroz, level on points with Al-Jolan SC. A win would take them above Newroz. Newroz SC are 3rd on 22 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Naft, 2 points clear of Al Shorta. A win would take them level on points with Naft.

Form. Al Shorta SC have won five, drawn four and lost none of their last nine, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D. In this competition Al Shorta SC have gone W D D W D W. Newroz SC have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. In this competition Newroz SC have gone D W W D W W.

The numbers. Al Shorta SC score one and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Shorta SC average 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Newroz SC score one and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Newroz SC average 3.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 4%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al Shorta SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Newroz SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Shorta SC 1-1 Newroz SC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALS 5 of 5 (100%) · NEW 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Al Shorta SC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Newroz SC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Al Shorta SC: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level · Newroz SC: only games against sides at Al Shorta SC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALS 5 of 5 (100%) · NEW 5 of 5 (100%)92%
Al Shorta SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Newroz SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Al Shorta SC: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level · Newroz SC: only games against sides at Al Shorta SC's level
Left off the list: Al Shorta SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Newroz SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals (the numbers (72%) and the records (96%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.6%
Al Shorta SC goals →
Newroz SC goals ↓
0-010%
1-012%
2-09%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 9
AL SHORTA SCWWDWDWDDW2.11 PPG
NEWROZ SCLDWWWDWWD2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AL SHORTA SC HOMExNEWROZ SC AWAY
1.11SCORED A GAME1.110.22CONCEDED A GAME0.1160%CLEAN SHEETS80%27%FAILED TO SCORE45%5.55CORNERS A GAME3.732.09CARDS A GAME1.91
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.78POINTS A GAME1.67+0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.67+4.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.72.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.69LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
18%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AL SHORTA SC OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
NEWROZ SC OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AL SHORTA SCxNEWROZ SC
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.600.40CONCEDED A GAME0.001.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE0%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Al Shorta SC have scored in 70% of their games.
Newroz SC have scored in 50% of their games.
Al Shorta SC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Newroz SC kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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