Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Shorta SC are 4th on 20 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Newroz, level on points with Al-Jolan SC. A win would take them above Newroz. Newroz SC are 3rd on 22 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Naft, 2 points clear of Al Shorta. A win would take them level on points with Naft.
Form. Al Shorta SC have won five, drawn four and lost none of their last nine, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W D. In this competition Al Shorta SC have gone W D D W D W. Newroz SC have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. In this competition Newroz SC have gone D W W D W W.
The numbers. Al Shorta SC score one and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Shorta SC average 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Newroz SC score one and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Newroz SC average 3.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 4%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al Shorta SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Newroz SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Shorta SC 1-1 Newroz SC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).