Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AL Karma are 2nd on 24 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Naft, 2 points clear of Newroz. A win would take them above Naft. Duhok FC are 9th on 15 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Al Minaa Basra, 1 point clear of Ghaz Al Shamal. A win would take them above Al Minaa Basra.
Form. AL Karma have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. In this competition AL Karma have gone L D W W W W. Duhok FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. In this competition Duhok FC have gone W L W D L D.
The numbers. AL Karma score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. AL Karma average 5.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Duhok FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Duhok FC average 6.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings AL Karma have won three, drawn none and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 8 Apr 2026, it finished AL Karma 3-0 Duhok FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The read. AL Karma to win. Their goals for and against make AL Karma the likelier winners; AL Karma are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Karma; the meetings favour AL Karma.
The bets. Best bet: AL Karma or Draw at 1.22, 73% on the records (AL Karma unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Duhok FC failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: AL Karma 1-0 Duhok FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).