HOEHOE

20:00Thu 29 Oct

VVS

Hoek vs VV Sparta Nijkerk

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. KNVB beker. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.

Form. Hoek have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. VV Sparta Nijkerk have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.

The numbers. Hoek score 0.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Hoek average 15.0 shots (4.3 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. VV Sparta Nijkerk score two and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 18% against the records' 60%.

The read. No firm call: VV Sparta Nijkerk are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make VV Sparta Nijkerk the likelier winners; VV Sparta Nijkerk are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour VV Sparta Nijkerk. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hoek 1-2 VV Sparta Nijkerk (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

HOE 9 of 10 (90%) · VVS 10 of 10 (100%)95.6%

Hoek: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · VV Sparta Nijkerk: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.62

HOE 8 of 10 (80%) · VVS 7 of 10 (70%)75%

Hoek: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · VV Sparta Nijkerk: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 10%

Hoek goals →

VV Sparta Nijkerk goals ↓

0-06%

1-05%

2-03%

3-00.8%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-110%

1-111%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-37%

1-36%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-43%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.5%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-51%

1-51%

2-50.6%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

HOEKLDLWLDDLLD0.70 PPG

VV SPARTA NIJKERKWLLWWWWLWW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

HOEK HOMExVV SPARTA NIJKERK AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME2.001.70CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS40%

TRENDS

Hoek have scored in 60% of their games.

VV Sparta Nijkerk have scored in 80% of their games.

Hoek kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

VV Sparta Nijkerk kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards