Match details. KNVB beker. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. De Treffers Groesbeek have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. Heracles Almelo have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W.
The numbers. De Treffers Groesbeek score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. De Treffers Groesbeek average 13.8 shots (6.2 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Heracles Almelo score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Heracles Almelo average 14.7 shots (6.1 on target), 8.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 20% against the records' 41%.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Heracles Almelo or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Heracles Almelo win or both teams score (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: De Treffers Groesbeek 2-1 Heracles Almelo (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.14
DET 5 of 5 (100%) · HER 5 of 6 (83%)93.7%
De Treffers Groesbeek: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Heracles Almelo: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
DET 3 of 5 (60%) · HER 4 of 6 (67%)71.3%
De Treffers Groesbeek: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Heracles Almelo: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
DET 3 of 5 (60%) · HER 5 of 6 (83%)67%
De Treffers Groesbeek: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Heracles Almelo: both scored in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.24
DET 5 of 5 (100%) · HER 5 of 6 (83%)89.4%
De Treffers Groesbeek: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Heracles Almelo: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.14
DET 5 of 5 (100%) · HER 5 of 6 (83%)89.4%
De Treffers Groesbeek: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Heracles Almelo: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DET 4 of 5 (80%) · HER 6 of 6 (100%)88.9%
De Treffers Groesbeek's games: over 7.5 corners in 4 of 5 at home · Heracles Almelo's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 87%
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DET 4 of 5 (80%) · HER 3 of 6 (50%)68.9%
De Treffers Groesbeek's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Heracles Almelo's games: over 1.5 cards in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 77%
Left off the list: Heracles Almelo or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Heracles Almelo win or both teams score (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Heracles Almelo or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–18%
De Treffers Groesbeek goals →
Heracles Almelo goals ↓
0-03%
1-04%
2-04%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-14%
1-19%
2-18%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-24%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-33%
1-35%
2-34%
3-33%
4-31%
5-30.4%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.5%
5-40.2%
0-50.4%
1-50.8%
2-50.7%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
DE TREFFERS GROESBEEKDWWLWWDDDW1.90 PPG
HERACLES ALMELODWWDWLWWWW2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DE TREFFERS GROESBEEK HOMExHERACLES ALMELO AWAY
2.50SCORED A GAME3.001.30CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.00CORNERS A GAME8.101.50CARDS A GAME1.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DRAW OR HERACLES ALMELO (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME2.42+1.45GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.92+2.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.62.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.211LEAGUE GAMES12
Heracles Almelo: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
82%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 85/90
DE TREFFERS GROESBEEK OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
HERACLES ALMELO OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
DE TREFFERS GROESBEEKxHERACLES ALMELO
6GAMES73.17SCORED A GAME3.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.434.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS71%67%BOTH SCORE86%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.210.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
De Treffers Groesbeek have scored in 100% of their games.
Heracles Almelo have scored in 90% of their games.
De Treffers Groesbeek kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Heracles Almelo kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards