ACV Assen vs Amsterdamsche FC
Match details. KNVB beker. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. ACV Assen have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W. Amsterdamsche FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. ACV Assen score 3.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Amsterdamsche FC score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Amsterdamsche FC average 10.7 shots (3.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. ACV Assen's record still gives them 59% to win.
The read. Amsterdamsche FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make ACV Assen the likelier winners; ACV Assen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ACV Assen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Amsterdamsche FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Amsterdamsche FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: ACV Assen 1-2 Amsterdamsche FC (5% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).