Match details. League Cup, Premier, Final. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Maccabi Tel Aviv FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W. Hapoel Tel Aviv FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. Maccabi Tel Aviv FC score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Maccabi Tel Aviv FC average 20.0 shots (7.9 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Hapoel Tel Aviv FC score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hapoel Tel Aviv FC average 16.5 shots (5.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Maccabi Tel Aviv FC have won five, drawn two and lost one. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Maccabi Tel Aviv FC won two, one was drawn and Hapoel Tel Aviv FC won one. The last time they met, on 14 Sep 2026, it finished Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 4-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv FC: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC had 19 shots to 11, 58% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. A knockout game (Final) with penalties if level, and Maccabi Tel Aviv FC are not clearly stronger. Hapoel Tel Aviv FC's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Maccabi Tel Aviv FC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Maccabi Tel Aviv FC the likelier winners; Maccabi Tel Aviv FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Maccabi Tel Aviv FC; the meetings favour Maccabi Tel Aviv FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%. Five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).