Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs AL Minaa
AL Minaa scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al Quwa Al Jawiya conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Al Quwa Al Jawiya's level · Al Quwa Al Jawiya: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level
Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 13th on 12 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Diyala, level on points with Mosul. A win would take them above Diyala. AL Minaa are 9th on 15 points after 11 games, level on points with Duhok, 1 point clear of Ghaz Al Shamal. A win would take them above Duhok.
Form. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. In this competition Al Quwa Al Jawiya have gone L D W D L W. AL Minaa have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. In this competition AL Minaa have gone W L W D L D.
The numbers. Al Quwa Al Jawiya score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Al Quwa Al Jawiya average 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game. AL Minaa score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. AL Minaa average 5.5 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won six, drawn three and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Al Quwa Al Jawiya won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-0 AL Minaa.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Al Quwa Al Jawiya the likelier winners, but AL Minaa are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
The case against. AL Minaa's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Al Quwa Al Jawiya or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Al Quwa Al Jawiya the likelier winners; AL Minaa are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Draw at 1.20, 74% on the records (Al Quwa Al Jawiya unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; AL Minaa failed to win 6 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Double Chance: Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Draw at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-1 AL Minaa (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).