Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AL Mosul SC are 14th on 12 points after 11 games, level on points with Al Quwa Al Jawiya, level on points with Zakho. A win would take them above Al Quwa Al Jawiya. AL Julan are 7th on 17 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Al Zawra'a, 2 points clear of Duhok. A win would take them above Al Zawra'a.
Form. AL Mosul SC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. In this competition AL Mosul SC have gone D W L L L L. AL Julan have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. In this competition AL Julan have gone W W D D L D.
The numbers. AL Mosul SC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AL Mosul SC average 3.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game. AL Julan score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. AL Julan average 2.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: AL Julan or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); AL Julan or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); AL Julan or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: AL Mosul SC 1-1 AL Julan (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).