FC Groningen vs FC Emmen
Match details. KNVB beker, Round of 64. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Euroborg, Groningen. The referee is E. Blank.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Groningen have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. FC Emmen have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. FC Groningen score 2.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Groningen average 13.8 shots (4.5 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. FC Emmen score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC Emmen average 15.9 shots (6.1 on target), 7.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings FC Groningen have won one, drawn three and lost none. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 1 Apr 2024, it finished FC Groningen 3-0 FC Emmen: FC Groningen had 18 shots to 16, 53% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Groningen the likelier winners, but FC Emmen are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. FC Emmen's record still gives them 36% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The read. FC Groningen to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Groningen the likelier winners; FC Emmen are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Groningen Over 1.5 goals (FC Emmen's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); FC Emmen Under 1.5 goals (FC Groningen's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Groningen are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Groningen 2-1 FC Emmen (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).