KBKOZ

18:45Thu 29 Oct

FCU

Kozakken Boys Werkendam vs FC Utrecht

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Kozakken Boys Werkendam host FC Utrecht in the Round of 64 of the KNVB beker. Kick-off is at 18:45 Lagos time on Thu 29 Oct at De Zwaaier in Werkendam.

What's at stake. It is played over one game, with penalties deciding things if it is level.

Form. Kozakken Boys Werkendam have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, averaging 2.3 points a game. Their last five results read L D W W D. FC Utrecht have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, taking 1.2 points a game. Their last five show D W W L W.

The numbers. Kozakken Boys Werkendam score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, keeping one clean sheet. They average 17.6 shots with 7.9 on target, 9.0 corners and 1.6 cards. FC Utrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away with no clean sheets. They average 10.7 shots with 4.2 on target, 4.1 corners and 2.1 cards.

The case against. Kozakken Boys Werkendam's record still gives them a 52% chance to win.

The read. FC Utrecht or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kozakken Boys Werkendam the likelier winners, and both teams' records favour Kozakken Boys Werkendam. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Overall, their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Over 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Kozakken Boys Werkendam 2-2 FC Utrecht (6% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Utrecht or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KOZ 5 of 5 (100%) · FCU 5 of 5 (100%)98.7%

FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Kozakken Boys Werkendam: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95%

FC Utrecht or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

KOZ 5 of 5 (100%) · FCU 3 of 5 (60%)78.8%

FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Kozakken Boys Werkendam: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.11

KOZ 4 of 5 (80%) · FCU 5 of 5 (100%)92.5%

Kozakken Boys Werkendam: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Utrecht: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.36

KOZ 2 of 5 (40%) · FCU 5 of 5 (100%)70.5%

Kozakken Boys Werkendam: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · FC Utrecht: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.14

KOZ 4 of 5 (80%) · FCU 5 of 5 (100%)90%

Kozakken Boys Werkendam: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.67

KOZ 2 of 5 (40%) · FCU 5 of 5 (100%)69%

Kozakken Boys Werkendam: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · FC Utrecht: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

CORNERS

Over 8.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KOZ 8 of 8 (100%) · FCU 3 of 5 (60%)83.3%

Kozakken Boys Werkendam's games: over 8.5 corners in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Utrecht's games: over 8.5 corners in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KOZ 8 of 8 (100%) · FCU 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%

Kozakken Boys Werkendam's games: over 1.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Utrecht's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%

Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 first-half goals (the numbers (70%) and the records (95%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 6.1%

Kozakken Boys… goals →

FC Utrecht goals ↓

0-03%

1-06%

2-07%

3-05%

4-03%

5-01%

0-13%

1-19%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-25%

2-26%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-31%

1-32%

2-33%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.5%

0-40.3%

1-40.8%

2-40.9%

3-40.7%

4-40.4%

5-40.2%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

KOZAKKEN BOYS WERKENDAMLDWWDWWWWW2.30 PPG

FC UTRECHTDWWLWDLDLL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KOZAKKEN BOYS WERKENDAM HOMExFC UTRECHT AWAY

2.60SCORED A GAME1.700.90CONCEDED A GAME2.7020%CLEAN SHEETS0%9.00CORNERS A GAME4.101.62CARDS A GAME2.10

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME1.33+1.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.78+7.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.31.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES9

Kozakken Boys Werkendam: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

KOZAKKEN BOYS WERKENDAM 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

78%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 85/90

KOZAKKEN BOYS WERKENDAM OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

FC UTRECHT OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

KOZAKKEN BOYS WERKENDAMxFC UTRECHT

6GAMES52.17SCORED A GAME1.601.17CONCEDED A GAME2.403.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.083%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%67%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Kozakken Boys Werkendam have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Utrecht have scored in 90% of their games.

Kozakken Boys Werkendam kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

FC Utrecht kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards