Ozd-Sajovolgye vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC
Match details. Magyar Kupa, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Ózdi Városi Stadion.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Ozd-Sajovolgye have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition Ozd-Sajovolgye have gone W. Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D W. In this competition Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC have gone W.
The numbers. Ozd-Sajovolgye score four and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Ozd-Sajovolgye average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC score 2.3 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC average 15.0 shots (4.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 14% against the records' 76%.
The read. No firm call: Ozd-Sajovolgye are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ozd-Sajovolgye the likelier winners; Ozd-Sajovolgye are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ozd-Sajovolgye. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Ozd-Sajovolgye); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Ozd-Sajovolgye). Predicted score: Ozd-Sajovolgye 3-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).