Wolves vs Cardiff City
Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Wolves have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. Cardiff City have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Wolves score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Wolves average 7.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Cardiff City score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cardiff City average 6.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Cardiff City's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Wolves to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Wolves the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Wolves. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 76% on the records (Wolves: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 9; Cardiff City: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Wolves Over 0.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Cardiff City or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Wolves); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Wolves 2-1 Cardiff City (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).