NINOR

15:00Sat 31 Oct

IFK

Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Superettan. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. Norrby IF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. IFK Varnamo have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.

The numbers. Norrby IF score one and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Norrby IF average 2.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game. IFK Varnamo score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. IFK Varnamo average 2.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The case against. Norrby IF's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. IFK Varnamo to win. IFK Varnamo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour IFK Varnamo.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Norrby IF 0-1 IFK Varnamo (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

NOR 5 of 5 (100%) · IFK 8 of 9 (89%)89.6%

Norrby IF: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · IFK Varnamo: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Norrby IF: only games against sides at IFK Varnamo's level · IFK Varnamo: only games against sides at Norrby IF's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

NOR 5 of 5 (100%) · IFK 6 of 9 (67%)70.5%

Norrby IF: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · IFK Varnamo: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Norrby IF: only games against sides at IFK Varnamo's level · IFK Varnamo: only games against sides at Norrby IF's level

IFK VARNAMO GOALS

IFK Varnamo Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.22

NOR 8 of 9 (89%) · IFK 4 of 5 (80%)67.9%

IFK Varnamo scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Norrby IF conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 83% · IFK Varnamo: only games against sides at Norrby IF's level · Norrby IF: only games against sides at IFK Varnamo's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.6%

Norrby IF goals →

IFK Varnamo goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

NORRBY IFLLWDLLLLWD0.80 PPG

IFK VARNAMOLWLWLWDWDW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NORRBY IF HOMExIFK VARNAMO AWAY

1.11SCORED A GAME1.251.46CONCEDED A GAME1.7150%BOTH SCORED70%30%CLEAN SHEETS20%2.36CORNERS A GAME2.001.50CARDS A GAME1.39

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.92POINTS A GAME1.20-0.46GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.213LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

NORRBY IF OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

IFK VARNAMO OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NORRBY IFxIFK VARNAMO

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Norrby IF have scored in 70% of their games.

IFK Varnamo have scored in 90% of their games.

Norrby IF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

IFK Varnamo kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards