Match details. Liga Al, Women. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Hapoel Tel Aviv have won none, drawn one and lost three of their last four league games, 0.2 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: L L L D. Kiryat Gat SC have won three, drawn none and lost one of their last four league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: W L W W.
The numbers. Hapoel Tel Aviv score 0.8 and concede two a game over their last four, with one clean sheet. Hapoel Tel Aviv average 5.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game. Kiryat Gat SC score three and concede 1.2 a game over their last four, with two clean sheets. Kiryat Gat SC average 9.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 94% against the records' 63%.
The read. No firm call: Kiryat Gat SC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Kiryat Gat SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kiryat Gat SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Kiryat Gat SC (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Kiryat Gat SC the favourite), a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).