Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. AL Sareeh have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. Sama AL Sarhan SC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D.
The numbers. AL Sareeh score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AL Sareeh average 8.8 shots (2.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Sama AL Sarhan SC score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. Sama AL Sarhan SC average 8.3 shots (2.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Sama AL Sarhan SC's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. AL Sareeh to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AL Sareeh the likelier winners; both teams' records favour AL Sareeh. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AL Sareeh 1-0 Sama AL Sarhan SC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).