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Cruzeiro EC MG vs Club Olimpia

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.

Form. Cruzeiro EC MG have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Club Olimpia have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W.

The numbers. Cruzeiro EC MG score five and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Cruzeiro EC MG average 15.8 shots (8.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Club Olimpia score 2.8 and concede 0.3 a game in their last six away, with five clean sheets. Club Olimpia average 11.0 shots (5.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 48%.

The read. No firm call: Cruzeiro EC MG are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cruzeiro EC MG the likelier winners; Cruzeiro EC MG are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cruzeiro EC MG. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Cruzeiro EC MG or Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Cruzeiro EC MG 2-1 Club Olimpia (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Cruzeiro EC MG or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRU 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 2 of 6 (33%)69%
Cruzeiro EC MG: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Club Olimpia: the bet landed in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CRU 5 of 5 (100%) · CLU 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Cruzeiro EC MG: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Club Olimpia: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
CRU 4 of 5 (80%) · CLU 2 of 6 (33%)62.8%
Cruzeiro EC MG: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Club Olimpia: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (83%) and the records (63%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Cruzeiro EC MG or Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (90%) and the records (69%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.4%
Cruzeiro EC MG goals →
Club Olimpia goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-15%
1-111%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11.0%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.8%
5-30.3%
0-40.6%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.6%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
CRUZEIRO EC MGLWDWWWWWWW2.50 PPG
CLUB OLIMPIAWWWWWWDWLW2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CRUZEIRO EC MG HOMExCLUB OLIMPIA AWAY
4.00SCORED A GAME3.101.00CONCEDED A GAME0.7060%CLEAN SHEETS70%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.221.56CARDS A GAME1.56
TRENDS
Cruzeiro EC MG have scored in 100% of their games.
Club Olimpia have scored in 90% of their games.
Cruzeiro EC MG kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Club Olimpia kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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