Kenya Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars FC
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 14:15 Lagos time.
Form. Kenya Police FC have won two, drawn seven and lost one of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D D. Ulinzi Stars FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W W.
The numbers. Kenya Police FC score one and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kenya Police FC average 7.1 shots (2.9 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Ulinzi Stars FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Ulinzi Stars FC average 9.8 shots (3.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Ulinzi Stars FC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Kenya Police FC or the draw. A tight game. Ulinzi Stars FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.14, 77% on the records (Kenya Police FC: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; Ulinzi Stars FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Kenya Police FC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 2.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kenya Police FC 1-1 Ulinzi Stars FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).