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FRANCE - LIGUE 1
ESTAC Troyes crestETEST
20:45Sat 31 Oct
LEMLe Mans FC crestLM

ESTAC Troyes vs Le Mans FC

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time.

Form. ESTAC Troyes have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Le Mans FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D.

The numbers. ESTAC Troyes score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. ESTAC Troyes average 12.3 shots (3.9 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Le Mans FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Le Mans FC average 2.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Le Mans FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Le Mans FC (no result call); Le Mans FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: ESTAC Troyes 1-1 Le Mans FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
EST 7 of 8 (88%) · LEM 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%
ESTAC Troyes: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Le Mans FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · ESTAC Troyes: only games against sides at Le Mans FC's level · Le Mans FC: only games against sides at ESTAC Troyes's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.29
EST 6 of 8 (75%) · LEM 8 of 8 (100%)75%
ESTAC Troyes: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Le Mans FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · ESTAC Troyes: only games against sides at Le Mans FC's level · Le Mans FC: only games against sides at ESTAC Troyes's level
LE MANS FC GOALS
Le Mans FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.34
EST 7 of 8 (88%) · LEM 6 of 8 (75%)71.9%
Le Mans FC scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ESTAC Troyes conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Le Mans FC: only games against sides at ESTAC Troyes's level · ESTAC Troyes: only games against sides at Le Mans FC's level
Left off the list: Le Mans FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Le Mans FC (no result call); Le Mans FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Le Mans FC 1UP (no result call); Le Mans FC (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Le Mans FC win or both teams score (no result call); Le Mans FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.2%
ESTAC Troyes goals →
Le Mans FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
ESTAC TROYESDLLLLLWDLW0.80 PPG
LE MANS FCDLLWDDLDWD1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ESTAC TROYES HOMExLE MANS FC AWAY
0.62SCORED A GAME1.382.00CONCEDED A GAME2.0030%CLEAN SHEETS10%6.50CORNERS A GAME2.501.63CARDS A GAME2.38
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.62POINTS A GAME0.88-1.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.62+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.10.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8
Le Mans FC: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
ESTAC TROYES OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
LE MANS FC OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ESTAC TROYESxLE MANS FC
5GAMES50.20SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME2.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE80%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.49.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
ESTAC Troyes have scored in 40% of their games.
Le Mans FC have scored in 90% of their games.
ESTAC Troyes kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Le Mans FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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